Regular season projection after week 4

Here are the projected conference win percentages and playoff qualification percentages based on 100.000 simulations and our current strength model.

Central

After beating the Raiders, Surge has the highest probability of winning the conference. However, Raiders have an higher chance of qualifying for the playoffs.

Eastern

Chance of Thunder winning the conference has dropped from 22% to 13%.

Western

Galaxy (45% to 51%) and Sea Devils (15% to 21%) could both increase their chance of qualifying for the playoffs.