Playoff picture after week 11
13 August 2023
After week 11, two teams have secured playoff spots, and seven teams battle for four more spots. Teams need at least seven wins for playoff qualification, and nine wins will secure a playoff spot for sure.
Playoff spots secured
- Vienna Vikings (Eastern conference winner)
- Rhein Fire
Hamburg Sea Devils (4-5)
Remaining games:
- vs Paris Musketeers
- vs Frankfurt Galaxy
- at Berlin Thunder
Scenario for playoff qualification:
- Sea Devils win three remaining games (7-5)
- Panthers win vs Thunder and loose vs Enthroners (all 7-5). Ravens lose at least two games, Both Raiders and Surge win at least one game (none with 7-5).
- Sea Devils win large blowouts (> +30 each game) and either Surge or Raiders lose all games and Panthers lose all games.
Munich Ravens (5-4)
Remaining games:
- vs Rhein Fire
- at Milano Seamen
- vs Barcelona Dragons
- Win all remaining games (8-4)
- Either Raiders or Surge lose all games. Panthers lose at least one game or Thunder loses all games.
- Large blowouts. Depending on results of other teams between +10 and +30. At least two out of Surge, Galaxy, Raiders, Thunder, Panthers end up with 8-4 or worse.
- Win two remaining games with large blowouts (7-5). At least three out of Surge, Raiders, Thunder, Panthers, Sea Devils end up with 7-5 or worse.
Panther Wroclaw (6-4)
Remaining games:
- Week 12: Thunder at Panthers
- Week 14: Panthers at Enthroners
- Win both games (8-4)
- Win vs Thunder with > +9. Thunder wins last game and no other teams ends up with 8-4.
- Either Thunder loses remaining game or Galaxy loses all games or Surge loses at least two games or Raiders loses at least two games, and Ravens do not win all three games with blowouts.
- Win vs Thunder, loss vs Enthroners (7-5)
- Win vs Thunder with > +9. Thunder loses remaining game and no other teams ends up with 7-5 and Ravens lose at least two games.
- Either Surge or Raiders lose all remaining games, and Ravens have zero or one win or two wins without blowouts.
- Loss vs Thunder, win vs Enthroners (7-5)
- Either Surge or Raiders lose all remaining games, and Ravens have zero or one win, or two wins without blowouts.
Berlin Thunder (6-3)
Remaining games:
- Week 12: Thunder at Panthers
- Week 13: automatic win vs Leipzig Kings
- Week 14: Sea Devils at Thunder
Win both games (9-3)
Win vs Panthers, loss vs Sea Devils (8-4)
- Ravens do not win all games by large blowouts.
- Either Surge or Raiders lose all remaining games
- Loss vs Panthers, win vs Sea Devils (8-4)
- Surge or Raiders lose all remaining games
- Ravens win all remaining games or Surge or Raiders win one game or Galaxy loses all remaining games and no extreme blowouts happen.
- Lose both games (7-5)
- Panthers win vs Enthroners. No large blowouts for Thunder and Raiders or Surge lose all remaining games and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Panthers lose vs Enthroners. No extreme blowouts for Thunder and Raiders or Surge lose all remaining games or Ravens win two games.
Raiders Tirol (7-2)
Remaining games:
- at Vienna Vikings
- vs Stuttgart Surge
- at Milano Seamen
Win two games (9-3 or better)
Win vs Surge, lose two games (8-4)
- Win vs Surge with > +3, Surge loses one additional game (Raiders conference winner).
- Thunder loses both games and Panthers lose vs Enthroners, and Surge loses all games or Ravens lose at least one game.
- Thunder loses both games or Panthers lose at least one game, and Surge loses all games and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Loss vs Surge, win one other games (8-4)
- Thunder loses both games and Panthers lose vs Enthroners, and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Thunder loses both games or Panthers lose at least one game, and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Lose all remaining games (7-5)
- Panthers lose both remaining games, Ravens lose at least once (twice if large blowouts for Raiders).
- Thunder loses both games with extreme blowouts, Ravens lose at least once (twice if large blowouts for Raiders).
Stuttgart Surge (7-2)
Remaining games:
- at Barcelona Dragons
- at Raiders Tirol
- vs Helvetic Guards
Win two games (9-3 or better)
Win vs Raiders, lose two games (8-4)
- Raiders lose at least one more game (Surge conference winner).
- Thunder loses both games and Panthers lose vs Enthroners, and Raiders loses all games or Ravens lose at least one game.
- Thunder loses both games or Panthers lose at least one game, and Raiders loses all games and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Loss vs Raiders, win one other game (8-4)
- Raiders loss both other games, loss vs Raiders with less than three (Surge conference winner)
- Thunder loses both games and Panthers lose vs Enthroners, and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Thunder loses both games or Panthers lose at least one game, and Ravens lose at least one game.
- Lose all remaining games (7-5)
- Panthers lose both remaining games, Ravens lose at least once (twice if large blowouts for Raiders).
- Thunder loses both games with extreme blowouts, Ravens lose at least once (twice if extreme blowouts for Surge).
Frankfurt Galaxy (8-1)
Remaining games:
- vs Milano Seamen
- at Hamburg Sea Devils
- vs Rhein Fire
One win (9-3 or better).
Lose all games (8-4)
- Two out of Surge loses all games, Raiders lose all games, Thunder loses all games, Panthers lose at least one game, Ravens lose at least one game (teams end up with 7-5 or worse).
- Not big blowouts for Galaxy. Raiders lose at least two games and Ravens do not win all games with large blowouts (both 8-4).
General note
In scenarios where several teams end up with 7-5 or 8-4, point differential will be the tie-breaker, unless its only
- Sea Devils, Panthers and Thunder (ranked in this order)
- Surge, Raiders and Ravens (Ravens last, Surge vs Raiders depending on week 13 result)
Not all possible scenarios including extreme blowouts are covered.