Regular season projection after week 3
Here are the projected conference win percentages and playoff qualification percentages based on 100.000 simulations and our current strength model.
Here are the projected conference win percentages and playoff qualification percentages based on 100.000 simulations and our current strength model.
In 2021, Centurions qualified for playoffs with a 5-5 record, while Kings (5-5) did not.
In 2022, Raiders and Dragons qualified with a 8-4 record, while Galaxy and Rhein Fire (both 8-4) did not.
How about 2023? 17 instead of 12 teams, six instead of four play off teams, two/four interconference games instead of six. And the possibility that up to three teams from one conference can qualify for playoffs.
...17 Teams, each travelling six times. But which team travels the most? That’s easy, obviously it’s the Dragons. So who travels the least? Let’s sum up distances on the road. We use Open Street Map, distances in kilometers between each stadium (if known, otherwise we use city centre). Centurions are traveling the least with just under 2377 Kilometers, followed by Lions and Fire. Paris has the largest distances in total (apart from Dragons), with their 488 km trip to Cologne as shortest distance. Enthroners follows, with a short trip to Vienna and five trips with more that 490 kilometers.
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