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ELF divisions 2025

13 December 2024
2025, Divisions

Here we are, the 2025 ELF divisions have been published:

North West East South
Rhein Fire Stuttgart Surge Vienna Vikings Munich Ravens
Berlin Thunder Paris Musketeers Panthers Wroclaw Madrid Bravos
Hamburg Sea Devils Cologne Centurions Fehervar Enthroners Raiders Tirol
Nordic Storm Frankfurt Galaxy Prague Lions Helvetic Mercenaries

The West Division is similar to the 2021 South Division, with Musketeers replacing the Dragons. It has three teams of the 2024 Western Conference, and one (Surge) from Central conference.

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Expert model prediction 2024

19 May 2024
2024

Expert model prediction 2024

These are the predictions from our model before the start of the season using expert rankings. The results are based on 100.000 simulated seasons.

First 2024 simulation

6 December 2023
2024

Conferences and inter conference games are out. Time for the first simulation of the 2024 season. For this, we use the team strength for the 2023 season as estimated by our model, replacing the Leipzig Kings with the Madrid Bravos.

The results of the simulations are of course very similar to the results of the 2023 season. There are however some interesting differences due to the changes in interconference games and Madrid replacing Leipzig.

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Playoff picture

26 August 2023
2023

Playoff race going into final week of the regular season

Playoff spots secured

  • Vienna Vikings (Eastern conference winner, bye to semifinal, home advantage)
  • Stuttgart Surge (Central conference winner, ranked #3, home advantage in wild card round)
  • Rhein Fire
  • Frankfurt Galaxy

Western conference

Galaxy needs win vs Fire > +24 to clinch Western conference and bye to semi final.

Either Galaxy or Fire will be ranked #4 and, hence, have home advantage in Wild Card round.

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Playoff picture

19 August 2023
2023

Play of race after week 12.

Playoff spots secured

  • Vienna Vikings (Eastern conference winner)
  • Rhein Fire
  • Frankfurt Galaxy

Western conference

Fire win conference unless Galaxy

  1. Win at Sea Devils plus win vs Fire > +24
  2. Win vs Fire > +24 and Fire loss at Guards
  3. Win vs Sea Devils and win vs Fire < +24 and Fire loss at Guards

Central conference

Surge win conference unless Raiders

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Playoff picture after week 11

13 August 2023
2023

After week 11, two teams have secured playoff spots, and seven teams battle for four more spots. Teams need at least seven wins for playoff qualification, and nine wins will secure a playoff spot for sure.

Playoff spots secured

  • Vienna Vikings (Eastern conference winner)
  • Rhein Fire

Hamburg Sea Devils (4-5)

Remaining games:

  • vs Paris Musketeers
  • vs Frankfurt Galaxy
  • at Berlin Thunder

Scenario for playoff qualification:

  1. Sea Devils win three remaining games (7-5)
  1. Panthers win vs Thunder and loose vs Enthroners (all 7-5). Ravens lose at least two games, Both Raiders and Surge win at least one game (none with 7-5).
  2. Sea Devils win large blowouts (> +30 each game) and either Surge or Raiders lose all games and Panthers lose all games.

Munich Ravens (5-4)

Remaining games:

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Playoff picture before week 11

9 August 2023
2023

Bye week is over and we start in the final four weeks of the regular season. Here is a breakdown of the playoff picture. Let’s start with the battle for conference titles.

Eastern conference

Vienna Vikings travel to Wroclaw on Sunday. If the Vikings win, they are the first team to clinge a conference title!

If Vikings loose however, they only need two more wins. With games vs Enthroners and in Prague in weeks 13 and 14, that shouldn’t be a big problem.

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Strength of schedule 2023 (week 9)

1 August 2023
2023

Strongest conference

For the 2023 season, the ELF conferences were reorganised. Before the season, the Western conference was said to be the strongest. After nine weeks, this can be confirmed. Out of their 14 interconference games, the Western teams won eleven and lost three: Hamburg vs Wroclaw (Eastern) in week 1 and Paris both games vs Stuttgart (Central). In the only eastern-central-interconference game, Vienna (Eastern) beat Tirol (Central).

Strength of schedule

Looking at each teams schedule, we can compute the strength of schedule. We use a combination of Opponent Winning Percentage (OW) and the OW of the opponents faced by the team under analysis (OOW).

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