Score difference distribution per season

Score difference distribution per season
EFA
AFLE
ELF
Published

July 6, 2026

How close are the games in EFA and AFLE compared to ELF seasons? Let’s have a look at score differences. On score games are defined as having a maximum of eight point difference, two score games with 16 points difference, and so on.

ELF has drifted steadily toward blowouts over its five seasons. In 2021, one-score games were the single most common outcome (30.0%) and only 12.5% of games were decided by five or more scores. By 2024 and 2025 that pattern had flipped: 5+ score blowouts became the most frequent category, climbing to 33.3% and then 37.9%, while nailbiters slipped back into the low-to-mid 20s.

The two newer leagues sit at opposite ends of that spectrum. EFA’s debut season looks like ELF’s early years - nearly a third of games (31.2%) are one-score affairs, and blowouts make up just 12.5%, making it the most balanced season in the table. AFLE’s first season is the opposite case: outcomes are split almost evenly across the first four categories (15.8% each), but more than a third of games (36.8%) still end in a 5+ score blowout - a competitive spread that looks close to where ELF ended.

season\scores 1 2 3 4 5+
ELF 21 30.0% 20.0% 22.5% 15.0% 12.5%
ELF 22 34.7% 13.9% 15.3% 13.9% 22.2%
ELF 23 27.7% 22.3% 13.8% 17.0% 19.1%
ELF 24 23.5% 16.7% 7.8% 18.6% 33.3%
ELF 25 25.3% 13.7% 14.7% 8.4% 37.9%
EFA 26 31.2% 12.5% 18.8% 25.0% 12.5%
AFLE 26 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 36.8%